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DOC News    August 1, 2007
Volume 4 Number 8 p. 10
© 2007 American Diabetes Association

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Midlife BMI Predicts Diabetes Risk

Compared with weight change, body mass index (BMI) more strongly predicts a woman's risk of developing diabetes in the years following her late 40s, according to a recently reported survey that tracked 7,239 women in Australia for 8 years.

Participants were 45–50 years old at the beginning of the study. Analysis from self-reported follow-up surveys reveals that, compared with those with a BMI of <25, women who had a BMI of ≥25 were much more likely to develop diabetes.

Women with a BMI of ≥35 were 12 times more likely to develop diabetes than those with BMIs <25.


Figure 1
BILLCRUMP/JUPITER IMAGES

No associations were seen between diabetes and weight gain or loss during the study period. Because the initial BMI factors so heavily into the risk of diabetes, clinicians should promote prevention of weight gain before and during early adulthood, the researchers conclude.

Mishra GD, Carrigan G, Brown WJ, et al.: Short-term weight change and the incidence of diabetes in midlife. Diabetes Care 30: 1418, 1424, 2007.[Abstract/Free Full Text]


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